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Cracks, not bricks, in the wall
As the first chart shows, the cracks in the characteristically cycle-high indicator of ‘the narrowing of the group of
The Fog of war (uncertainty)
“The cockroach theorem is, in the final analysis, a theorem about measurement. A system that cannot accurately measure its own
Calibrate & recalibrate
Volatility, uncertainty, and risk are all necessary but not sufficient conditions for generating cash-plus returns from investments. Too many
The Next Wave…
As was well-flagged over the past weeks by Repo market activity, the Active Treasury Issuance (ATI)* of government debt,
All that glitters…
This update consolidates our thesis for owning GOLD exposures and our recommendations for portfolios into one place. Over recent years,
“Thank you for your attention to this matter.”
This note highlights many economic indicators that are flashing warning signs for history-aware investors. A thorough examination of history